Those are the lessons to learn from the Independent Commission on Security Forces in Iraq
We have spent billions building the police forces in Iraq, and the result:
Iraq's Interior Ministry is regarded as "dysfunctional and sectarian," and the National Police should be "disbanded and reorganized,"
So, time to spend a few billion more.
And, what tells us that the surge will fail?
Iraq's armed forces won't be ready to perform independently during the next 18 months.
We have been promised a viable and effective Iraqi army was only a year a two away for 4 years now. It is very clear that at this time Iraq is unable to hold any of the gains the US forces make during the surge.
The end result for the people of Iraq; A period of improvement that last only as long as US troops are present. If troops move on there will be rapid decline into violence that the Iraqi army is unable to prevent.