Thursday, June 30, 2005

Recruiting numbers raise a big red flag.

The Army announced that they had reversed a trend (after 4 months of huge shortfalls) , and in June will exceed their goal. According to reports, they will bring in over 6,150 new members, almost 10% over the goal of 5,650.

Here is where it gets interesting.

Last month they announced a short-fall of about 25% of a new lowered goal. This revision of numbers shifted those May recruits to new higher goals for the last months of the year (September is the last month of the year in the recruiting cycle).

In May the goal was 6,700, lowered from 8,000. In June the goal was another 1,000 persons lower that the downward revised May goal. You have to wonder where did those slots, moved from May, go. After the May report, the Army had 4 months left in the recruiting year. They needed to average over 9,500 men or women each month to hit the annual goal. The recruiting numbers leaked out indicate, not a 9% surplus, but a 36% shortfall, right in line with the recruiting in April and May.

If the Army is serious about hitting it's goal for the year, they will now have to bring in 10,700+ new recruits in each of the next three months.

This doesn't appear to be a victory in recruiting, but a fine example of Author Anderson accounting.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yet, the Army is claiming a win. It does not make sense to me.

"Radical" Russ said...

I'm claiming success in achieving my goal to dunk a basketball... I found this great 8' rim over at the grade school.

Later today, I'm going to run a personal best in the 100-m dash on my special 80-m course.