Friday, July 21, 2006

Lebanon Is About To Get Real Nasty

Israel is into day 10 of their effort to destroy Hezbollah they are calling up the reserves and have advised civilians to head north. Clear indicators that a large scale invasion of Lebanon is in the works.

Of course, in one of the typical ironies of war, Israel has just spent the last 10 days destroying the roads and bridges leading away from the combat zone. So civilians will be trapped in the cross fire.

Another ironic reality of this type of war, Israel will end up creating more terrorist than they kill. Even those who are not Hezbollah, who don't support Hezbollah don't like being invaded and having their lovedones declared collateral damage. Some of these people will refill the ranks of Hezbollah, and assure it growth, not it's demise.

Another screwed up response to terrorism.

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4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Israeli soldiers (commandos) crossed the Lebanese border, when they were captured. The current invasion has been planned for weeks. You don't plan something like this overnight over two captured soldiers.

Bukko Boomeranger said...

How are you going, Wise Men? As for not winning any friends across the world, let me tell you how the invasion of Lebanon is playing in Australia.

The headlines in the Melbourne papers, and on the national TV news programmes, are all about "Aussies trying to evacuate from the carnage in Lebanon." (There's a substantial Lebanese population down here. After World War II, the government encouraged immigrants from around the Mediterranean to come here. Need for workers, similar climate and so on.)

So you have all these English-speaking people who had been holidaying or visiting rellies there, and they're on the tube, tearful and fearful about the hell Israel is unleashing. The focus is not on what Hezbollah did, it's on what Israel is doing. So, more hatred for a country that once held the moral high ground.

Israel will certainly carry the day, and bomb the snot out of Lebanon. But it's going to be a pyrrhic victory, making them more enemies in the long run than the number they kill in the short term. Big question: what does this do to Turkey, which has been an important Israeli economic lifeline in the Muslim world? I think it's going to radicalise the Turks, and their pollies will harden their attitudes toward cooperating with Israel on oil pipelines and other trade.

BTW, I'm an American who emigrated here last December because my wife and I could no longer consider ourselves morally clean whilst we were paying taxes to the war machine. I'm a registered nurse, so I could get a work visa. It's not perfect here, but I can sleep with a clearer conscience. Good luck back in the (other) States. I see more signs of fascism every day there, and it's going to take an economic collapse to bring on the rebellion that changes it. I'll watch from afar and read about it in the WaPo online. (Assuming Washington's not nuked...)

Anonymous said...

Too bad you moved, there is no law that obligates you to pay the IRS. :)

Anonymous said...

I have a question thats irking me here, so let me lay it out straight. What would have happened if the scenario was reversed and Lebanon invaded Israel (Assuming that Israel in this case were the weaker nation)?

Just a thought:)